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M's 2004 Electoral College Predicition M's 2004 Electoral College Prediction
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2004 Electoral College - Nightmare

M's 2004 Electoral College Predicition

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

President Bush wins Iowa, New Mexico, Wisconsin.

Kerry wins Florida and New Hampshire.

Are we having fun yet?:

1. Midwest and Southwest solid for President Bush.

2. New Hampshire goes for a New England neighbor. Democrat turnout better than Republican turnout in Florida.

This would throw the election to the U.S. House of Representatives. The Republicans control the House so President Bush will get 4 more years.

Not so fast. If it's this close, expect the legions of trial lawyers (led by John Edwards) to behave worst than they did in 2000.

Notes

W won Florida and New Hampshire by slim margins in 2000

Florida: W = 2,912,790 (48.85%), Gore = 2,912,253 (48.84%) .01%
New Hampshire: W = 278,559 (48.6%), Gore = 266,848 (46.2%) 2.4%

W lost Iowa, New Mexico, Oregon and Wisconsin by slim margins

Iowa: W = 634,373 (48.3%), Gore = 638,517 (48.6%) .3%
Minnesota: W = 1,109,659 (45.5%), Gore = 1,168,266 (47.9%) 2.4%
New Mexico: W = 286,417 (47.8%), Gore = 286,783 (47.9%) .1%
Oregon: W = 713,577 (46.6%), Gore = 720,342 (47.1%) .5%
Wisconsin: W = 1,237,279 (47.6%) , Gore = 1,242,987 (47.8%) .2%



©2004. Merry Mad Monk